UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
Murphy
50%
Moura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Murphy
This is a genuine toss-up — Murphy at 50% vs Moura at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Murphy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Murphy's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Murphy
Moura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
67"
Reach
67"
42
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Moura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
51.1
41.9
Performance Avg
45.0
34
Quality of Victory
35
87
Momentum Score
64
Murphy
Moura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
21
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance25
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Murphy
Moura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Murphy
Moura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Murphy
Moura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Murphy
Moura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Murphy
Moura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
MurphyMoura
Strike Zones
Murphy
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedMoura
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (100% of attacks) — Moura absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Moura targets the head (84% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Murphy
RND
Moura
0/0R00/0
Murphy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Moura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 4.7Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Moura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 4.8Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Montserrat Conejo RuizRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11