UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2011
Lightweight
VS
49%
Volkmann
51%
Escudero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Escudero
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkmann at 49% vs Escudero at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Escudero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Escudero has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Volkmann's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Escudero has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Volkmann
Escudero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
71"
45
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Volkmann
Escudero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
16.8
41.9
Performance Avg
48.3
30
Quality of Victory
53
70
Momentum Score
40
Volkmann
Escudero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.8
37%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch4
4Ground1
Volkmann
Escudero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Volkmann
Escudero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/40 fights
Volkmann
Escudero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Volkmann
Escudero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkmann
Escudero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
VolkmannEscudero
Strike Zones
Volkmann
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedEscudero
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkmann targets the head (100% of attacks) — Escudero absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Escudero targets the head (83% of attacks) — Volkmann absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkmann
RND
Escudero
0/0R00/0
Volkmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Escudero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Volkmann · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
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