METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Jacksonville, USA
13 May 2020
Lightweight
VS
47%
Hernandez
53%
Dober
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:25
★ Official Result
Drew DoberwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:25
def. Alexander Hernandez · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dober
→
Actual result
Dober wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hernandez at 47% vs Dober at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Hernandez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HernandezDober
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hernandez
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hernandez
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
59.9
47.4
Performance Avg
53.2
42
Quality of Victory
50
90
Momentum Score
100
Hernandez
Dober
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
7.3
5.1
Style: Volume
2.8
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
30
5
Body
5
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance30
1Clinch7
1Ground0
Hernandez
Dober
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hernandez
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/27 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Hernandez
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hernandez
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Dober
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
HernandezDober
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedDober
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (72% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Dober targets the head (81% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0
Hernandez · Last 5
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