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UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
Vancouver, Canada
10 Jun 2023
Featherweight
VS
50%
Ige
50%
Landwehr
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Dan
Dan Ige
"100K"
19 – 11
5'7"71" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Nate
Nate Landwehr
"The Train"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 49
★ Official Result
Dan IgewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nate Landwehr · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ige
→
Actual result
Ige wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ige at 50% vs Landwehr at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Landwehr throws more volume but Ige connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Landwehr has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
IgeLandwehr
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ige
Landwehr
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ige
Landwehr
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
49.3
46.3
Performance Avg
42.7
42
Quality of Victory
41
53
Momentum Score
88
Ige
Landwehr
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
2.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
25
5
Body
5
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
30Distance23
3Clinch9
0Ground0
Ige
Landwehr
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ige
Landwehr
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/30 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Ige
Landwehr
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Ige
Landwehr
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ige
Landwehr
Striking5.6 / 2.9Volume4.7 / 4.1Grappling1.8 / 4.2Wrestling1.3 / 2.9Submission0.9 / 4.0Pressure5.4 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Ige
Strike Zones
Landwehr
Ige
Attacking
25HEAD5BODY3LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD5BODY2LEGS32 absorbed
Landwehr
Attacking
25HEAD5BODY2LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD5BODY3LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the head (76% of attacks) — Landwehr absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Landwehr targets the head (78% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ige
RND
Landwehr
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ige · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.2L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W6.0L5.6L6.8L5.5W5.2W6.5L5.7W6.8L7.0L6.6W5.5L2.7L2018-012020-052023-012025-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Landwehr · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.9L5.0W1.7L6.7W5.3W5.2W6.2L5.5W5.8L5.2L2.0L2020-012021-102023-062025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Ige · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

Landwehr · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Cub SwansonRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dooho ChoiRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06

News & Media

Dan Ige · Nate Landwehr
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