UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Featherweight
VS
50%
Swanson
50%
Stephens
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swanson
This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 50% vs Stephens at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Swanson
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
45.0
48.8
Performance Avg
41.1
40
Quality of Victory
40
56
Momentum Score
76
Swanson
Stephens
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
8 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
18
2
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Swanson
Stephens
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Swanson
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
76
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Swanson
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
47%
8
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swanson
Stephens
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
SwansonStephens
Strike Zones
Swanson
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedStephens
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (81% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (90% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swanson
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
Swanson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Stephens · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 2.2Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10

