UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Lightweight
VS
89%
Aliev
11%
Rock
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nurullo
Nurullo Aliev
"Tajik Eagle"
11 – 0
5'10"72" reachOrthodox25 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Shem
Shem Rock
12 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'11"
CFR 8

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aliev

Aliev is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Aliev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Rock throws more volume but Aliev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Aliev
Rock
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
25+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Aliev
Rock
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.8
7.7
55.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Aliev
Rock
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
1
Body
8
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance10
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Aliev
Rock
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aliev
Rock
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/11 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Aliev
Rock
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Aliev
Rock
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aliev
Rock
Striking2.0 / 0.0Volume10.0 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Aliev
Strike Zones
Rock
Aliev
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD8BODY3LEGS12 absorbed
Rock
Attacking
1HEAD8BODY3LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aliev targets the head (56% of attacks) — Rock absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Rock targets the body (67% of attacks) — Aliev absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aliev
RND
Rock
0/0R00/0

Aliev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.2W4.5W2023-022025-012025-11
WinLossTrend

Rock · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.3
0106.8L5.7L2025-112026-03
WinLossTrend

Aliev · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Shem RockRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Rafael AlvesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

Rock · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Nurullo AlievRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

News & Media

Nurullo Aliev · Shem Rock
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