UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Saint Petersburg, Russia
20 Apr 2019
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Overeem
59%
Oleinik
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:45
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
6'4"80" reachOrthodox46 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 18
AO
Aleksei Oleinik
"The Boa Constrictor"
60 – 17
Submission Hunter48 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'2"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oleinik

This is a genuine toss-up — Overeem at 41% vs Oleinik at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oleinik has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Overeem
Oleinik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
80"
Reach
80"
46+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Oleinik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
26.5
55.0
Performance Avg
52.0
52
Quality of Victory
51
56
Momentum Score
39
Overeem
Oleinik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.6
73%
Strike Accuracy
49%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
15
6
Body
23
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance12
12Clinch26
12Ground0
Overeem
Oleinik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.5
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Overeem
Oleinik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
17/77 fights
Overeem
Oleinik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
39
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Overeem
Oleinik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
89%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Overeem
Oleinik
Striking8.7 / 2.2Volume3.2 / 1.9Grappling0.6 / 6.5Wrestling0.4 / 4.5Submission0.0 / 7.8Pressure7.0 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.5
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.8
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
Overeem
Strike Zones
Oleinik
Overeem
Attacking
23HEAD6BODY0LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD23BODY0LEGS38 absorbed
Oleinik
Attacking
15HEAD23BODY0LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD6BODY0LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (79% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Oleinik targets the body (61% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Overeem
RND
Oleinik
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Oleinik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.7L5.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W4.5W3.3L1.8L6.0L5.0W5.5L2014-062017-112020-012022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Oleinik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5
Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Alistair Overeem · Aleksei Oleinik
← Back to fights