UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Jan 2013
Lightweight
VS
71%
Barboza
29%
Martins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:38
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
2414
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
LM
Lucas Martins
"Mineiro"
193
Well-Rounded37 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barboza

Barboza is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barboza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Martins has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barboza
Martins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barboza
Martins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
18.1
46.3
Performance Avg
49.7
40
Quality of Victory
45
60
Momentum Score
52
Barboza
Martins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
9 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
9
3
Body
2
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance12
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Barboza
Martins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Martins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Barboza
Martins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Barboza
Martins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
9
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Martins
Striking6.1 / 6.1Volume5.1 / 3.1Grappling1.2 / 2.6Wrestling0.8 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure5.2 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Barboza
Strike Zones
Martins
Barboza
Attacking
15HEAD3BODY8LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Martins
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD3BODY8LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (58% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Martins targets the head (75% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Martins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barboza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Martins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.0L5.5W5.0W5.5W6.0L2.8L4.5W2013-012013-092014-102016-04
WinLossTrend

Barboza · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Martins · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Robert WhitefordRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Mirsad BekticRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · KO · R3
Alex WhiteRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · Sub · R1
Ramiro HernandezRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09

News & Media

Edson Barboza · Lucas Martins
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