Edson Barboza vs Lucas Martins — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping

Sao Paulo, Brazil

19 Jan 2013

Lightweight

71%

Barboza

29%

Martins

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 2:38

Edson Barboza

"Junior"

24 – 14

5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 45

Lucas Martins

"Mineiro"

19 – 3

Well-Rounded37 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'0"

CFR 18

★ Official Result

Edson BarbozawinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:38

def. Lucas Martins · UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Barboza

→

Actual result

Barboza wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Barboza is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Martins has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

BarbozaMartins

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Barboza

Martins

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"

Height

+6'0"

75"+

Reach

72"

Age

+37

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Barboza

Martins

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

44.6

18.1

45.7

Performance Avg

49.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Barboza

Martins

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.1

/ 10

6.1

/ 10

5.1

Style: Pressure

7.0

5.1

Style: Volume

3.1

9 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

20Distance12

0Clinch0

6Ground0

Barboza

Martins

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

/ 10

2.6

/ 10

0.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.8

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Barboza

Martins

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.6 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.5 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

33/38 fights

Chin rating based on

7/22 fights

Barboza

Martins

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R3

W · Sub · R1

Barboza

Martins

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

75%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza

Martins

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.1

1.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.6

0.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.8

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

5.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.0

5.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.1

Barboza

Strike Zones

Martins

Barboza

Attacking

26 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Martins

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

26 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Barboza targets the head (58% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 58% of strikes there

🎯Martins targets the head (75% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barboza

RND

Martins

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Barboza · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Esteban Ribovics

KO/TKO

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08

L · KO · R1

Jalin Turner

KO/TKO

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

L · Dec · R3

Drakkar Klose

Decision

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

L · Dec · R5

Lerone Murphy

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

W · Dec · R5

Sodiq Yusuff

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

Martins · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Robert Whiteford

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04

L · KO · R2

Mirsad Bektic

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05

L · Dec · R3

Darren Elkins

Decision

UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10

W · KO · R3

Alex White

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07

W · Sub · R1

Ramiro Hernandez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09

News & Media

Edson Barboza · Lucas Martins

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