METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Detroit, USA
2 Dec 2017
Heavyweight
VS
30%
Overeem
70%
Ngannou
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:42
FN
CFR 43
★ Official Result
Francis NgannouwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:42
def. Alistair Overeem · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ngannou
→
Actual result
Ngannou wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Ngannou is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OvereemNgannou
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Overeem
Ngannou
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"
Reach
+83"
46
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Ngannou
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
43.0
55.0
Performance Avg
70.4
52
Quality of Victory
60
56
Momentum Score
100
Overeem
Ngannou
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.7
/ 10
9.2
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
8.4
3.2
Style: Volume
2.4
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
9 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch3
0Ground1
Overeem
Ngannou
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Overeem
Ngannou
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
8
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Overeem
Ngannou
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Overeem
Ngannou
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
83%
9
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Overeem
Ngannou
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
OvereemNgannou
Strike Zones
Overeem
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedNgannou
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ngannou targets the head (67% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Overeem
RND
Ngannou
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Overeem · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
Ngannou · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Ciryl GaneDecision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
W · KO · R2
Stipe MiocicKO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Junior Dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02