METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
21 Aug 2021
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Porter
51%
Sherman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Parker PorterwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chase Sherman · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sherman
→
Actual result
Porter wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Porter at 49% vs Sherman at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sherman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Porter's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sherman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PorterSherman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Porter
Sherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+78"
41
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Porter
Sherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.5
30.1
40.2
Performance Avg
38.4
34
Quality of Victory
46
45
Momentum Score
46
Porter
Sherman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
6.0
7.0
Style: Volume
2.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
54
Head
22
10
Body
3
7
Leg
12
RangeRange
67Distance36
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Porter
Sherman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Porter
Sherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Porter
Sherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
46
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Porter
Sherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Porter
Sherman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
PorterSherman
Strike Zones
Porter
Attacking
71 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedSherman
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
71 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Porter targets the head (76% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Sherman targets the head (59% of attacks) — Porter absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Porter
RND
Sherman
0/0R00/0
Porter · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Junior TafaKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Braxton SmithKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Justin TafaKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Alan BaudotDecision
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Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
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