UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
21 Aug 2021
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Porter
51%
Sherman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PP
Parker Porter
14 – 9
6'0"75" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 29
Chase
Chase Sherman
"The Vanilla Gorilla"
16 – 12
Striker2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 30

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sherman

This is a genuine toss-up — Porter at 49% vs Sherman at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sherman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Porter has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Porter's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sherman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Porter
Sherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+78"
41
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Porter
Sherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.5
30.1
40.2
Performance Avg
38.4
34
Quality of Victory
46
45
Momentum Score
46
Porter
Sherman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.2
2.4
53%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
54
Head
22
10
Body
3
7
Leg
12
RangeRange
67Distance36
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Porter
Sherman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Porter
Sherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Porter
Sherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
46
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Porter
Sherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Porter
Sherman
Striking3.5 / 8.0Volume7.0 / 2.5Grappling1.8 / 0.6Wrestling1.3 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.3 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Porter
Strike Zones
Sherman
Porter
Attacking
54HEAD10BODY7LEGS71 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD3BODY12LEGS37 absorbed
Sherman
Attacking
22HEAD3BODY12LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
54HEAD10BODY7LEGS71 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Porter targets the head (76% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Sherman targets the head (59% of attacks) — Porter absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Porter
RND
Sherman
0/0R00/0

Porter · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.8L4.6W4.5W4.5W3.3L3.1L5.0W2.3L2020-082021-082022-052023-052023-08
WinLossTrend

Sherman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L2.8L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.5L4.2L5.2W6.2L5.5L1.5L2.3L5.5W7.0L6.0L2016-082017-112021-042022-072023-05
WinLossTrend

Porter · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Junior TafaRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Braxton SmithRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Alan BaudotRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02

Sherman · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Jake CollierRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Parker Porter · Chase Sherman
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