UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Middleweight
VS
62%
Rowston
38%
Brundage
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:08
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rowston
Rowston holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Brundage has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Rowston throws more volume but Brundage connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brundage has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rowston
Brundage
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
72"
31+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rowston
Brundage
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.7
45.2
68.0
Performance Avg
49.0
47
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
26
Rowston
Brundage
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
53%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
8
6
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance7
3Clinch2
19Ground0
Rowston
Brundage
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rowston
Brundage
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
24
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Rowston
Brundage
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Rowston
Brundage
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
83%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rowston
Brundage
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
RowstonBrundage
Strike Zones
Rowston
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedBrundage
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rowston targets the head (76% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Brundage targets the head (89% of attacks) — Rowston absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rowston
RND
Brundage
0/0R00/0
Rowston · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Brundage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Rowston · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Robert BryczekRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Cody BrundageRating 5.8KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Andre PetroskiRating 5.5KO/TKO
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Brundage · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Donte JohnsonRating 7.2Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Cam RowstonRating 4.7KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5Decision
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