UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Brooklyn, USA
19 Jan 2019
Flyweight
VS
48%
Benavidez
52%
Ortiz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ortiz
This is a genuine toss-up — Benavidez at 48% vs Ortiz at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Benavidez throws more volume but Ortiz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Benavidez
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
41
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benavidez
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
17.2
51.4
Performance Avg
47.8
38
Quality of Victory
42
40
Momentum Score
45
Benavidez
Ortiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
8
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch5
0Ground6
Benavidez
Ortiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benavidez
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Benavidez
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Benavidez
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Benavidez
Ortiz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
BenavidezOrtiz
Strike Zones
Benavidez
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedOrtiz
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the body (57% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Benavidez
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Benavidez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Benavidez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04