METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
Sacramento, USA
17 Dec 2016
Welterweight
VS
52%
Jouban
48%
Perry
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alan JoubanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mike Perry · UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jouban
→
Actual result
Jouban wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jouban at 52% vs Perry at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Jouban's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Perry has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JoubanPerry
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jouban
Perry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jouban
Perry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
16.4
49.7
Performance Avg
44.4
42
Quality of Victory
43
67
Momentum Score
50
Jouban
Perry
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
6.7
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
5.4
5.2
Style: Volume
4.4
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
7
4
Body
1
10
Leg
4
RangeRange
24Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jouban
Perry
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jouban
Perry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
15/22 fights
Jouban
Perry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Jouban
Perry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jouban
Perry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
JoubanPerry
Strike Zones
Jouban
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedPerry
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jouban targets the head (42% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Perry targets the head (58% of attacks) — Jouban absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jouban
RND
Perry
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jouban · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Perry · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallDecision
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Geoff NealKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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