UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Dublin, Ireland
24 Oct 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
88%
Daly
12%
Almeida
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AD
Aisling Daly
"Ais the Bash"
16 – 6
5'2"64" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
EA
Ericka Almeida
7 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox5'6"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Daly

Daly is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Daly has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Daly has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Daly
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Daly
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.0
2.7
50.4
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
70
Momentum Score
0
Daly
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.6
58%
Strike Accuracy
32%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
5
10
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
6Clinch1
21Ground3
Daly
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Daly
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Daly
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Daly
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Daly
Almeida
Striking1.3 / 0.0Volume5.3 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Daly
Strike Zones
Almeida
Daly
Attacking
15HEAD10BODY3LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Almeida
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD10BODY3LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Daly targets the head (54% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (83% of attacks) — Daly absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Daly
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0

Daly · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5L4.5W2014-122015-042015-10
WinLossTrend

Almeida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2015-052015-10
WinLossTrend

Daly · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Ericka AlmeidaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Sub · R1
Alex ChambersRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12

Almeida · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Aisling DalyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Juliana LimaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05

News & Media

Aisling Daly · Ericka Almeida
← Back to fights