METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Dublin, Ireland
24 Oct 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
88%
Daly
12%
Almeida
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aisling DalywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ericka Almeida · UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Daly
→
Actual result
Daly wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Daly is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Daly has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Daly has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DalyAlmeida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Daly
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Daly
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.0
2.7
50.4
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
70
Momentum Score
0
Daly
Almeida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.6
58%
Strike Accuracy
32%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
5
10
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
6Clinch1
21Ground3
Daly
Almeida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Daly
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Daly
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Daly
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Daly
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DalyAlmeida
Strike Zones
Daly
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Daly targets the head (54% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (83% of attacks) — Daly absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Daly
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
Daly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Daly · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Ericka AlmeidaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Sub · R1
Alex ChambersRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
Almeida · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Aisling DalyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Juliana LimaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05