METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Lightweight
VS
91%
Miller
9%
O'Brien
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:38
★ Official Result
Cole MillerwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:38
def. TJ O'Brien · UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Miller wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Miller is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Brien has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerO'Brien
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
O'Brien
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
O'Brien
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
1.8
49.0
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
49
Momentum Score
0
Miller
O'Brien
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.6
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
0
Body
0
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance5
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Miller
O'Brien
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
7.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
O'Brien
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Miller
O'Brien
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Miller
O'Brien
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
O'Brien
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MillerO'Brien
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedO'Brien
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the legs (69% of attacks) — O'Brien absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯O'Brien targets the head (80% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
O'Brien
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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O'Brien · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Cole MillerSubmission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Paul KellyKO/TKO
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