METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Lightweight
VS
91%
Miller
9%
O'Brien
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:38
★ Official Result
Cole MillerwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:38
def. TJ O'Brien · UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Miller wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Miller is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
O'Brien has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Brien has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerO'Brien
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
O'Brien
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
O'Brien
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
1.8
49.0
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
49
Momentum Score
0
Miller
O'Brien
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.2
31%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
0
Body
0
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance5
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Miller
O'Brien
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
O'Brien
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Miller
O'Brien
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Miller
O'Brien
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
O'Brien
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MillerO'Brien
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedO'Brien
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the legs (69% of attacks) — O'Brien absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯O'Brien targets the head (80% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
O'Brien
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
O'Brien · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Upcoming
Jim AlersUFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Sub · R2
Sam SiciliaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
O'Brien · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Cole MillerRating 2.8Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Paul KellyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11