METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Shanghai, China
25 Nov 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
21%
Curran
79%
Xiaonan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yan XiaonanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kailin Curran · UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Xiaonan
→
Actual result
Xiaonan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Xiaonan is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Curran has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Curran's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Xiaonan has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CurranXiaonan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Curran
Xiaonan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"+
Reach
63"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Curran
Xiaonan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
51.3
35.4
Performance Avg
43.0
50
Quality of Victory
29
20
Momentum Score
100
Curran
Xiaonan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
2.7
0.3
Style: Volume
8.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
30
2
Body
0
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance26
4Clinch7
5Ground2
Curran
Xiaonan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Curran
Xiaonan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Curran
Xiaonan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Curran
Xiaonan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
11%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Curran
Xiaonan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
CurranXiaonan
Strike Zones
Curran
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedXiaonan
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Curran targets the head (81% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (86% of attacks) — Curran absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Curran
RND
Xiaonan
0/0R00/0
Curran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandra AlbuDecision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MoyleDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Felice HerrigSubmission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Emily KaganSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
Xiaonan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Denise GomesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05