UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Shanghai, China
25 Nov 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
20%
Curran
80%
Xiaonan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Xiaonan
Xiaonan is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Curran has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Xiaonan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Curran's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Curran
Xiaonan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"+
Reach
63"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Curran
Xiaonan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
54.2
35.4
Performance Avg
45.0
50
Quality of Victory
29
20
Momentum Score
100
Curran
Xiaonan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
30
2
Body
0
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance26
4Clinch7
5Ground2
Curran
Xiaonan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Curran
Xiaonan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Curran
Xiaonan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Curran
Xiaonan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
11%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Curran
Xiaonan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
CurranXiaonan
Strike Zones
Curran
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedXiaonan
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Curran targets the head (81% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (86% of attacks) — Curran absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Curran
RND
Xiaonan
0/0R00/0
Curran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Xiaonan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Curran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandra AlbuRating 5.5Decision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MoyleRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Felice HerrigRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Emily KaganRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
Xiaonan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2Decision
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L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7Decision
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