UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Copenhagen, Denmark
28 Sept 2019
Middleweight
VS
50%
Hermansson
50%
Cannonier
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:27
Jack
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
24 – 10
6'1"77" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Jared
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18 – 9
Striker42 yrsSwitch77" reach5'11"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hermansson

This is a genuine toss-up — Hermansson at 50% vs Cannonier at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Hermansson throws more volume but Cannonier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hermansson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cannonier has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hermansson
Cannonier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
77"
Reach
77"
37+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Hermansson
Cannonier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
54.3
48.1
Performance Avg
49.3
42
Quality of Victory
46
97
Momentum Score
82
Hermansson
Cannonier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
17
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground17
Hermansson
Cannonier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hermansson
Cannonier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
22
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/34 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Hermansson
Cannonier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Hermansson
Cannonier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
64%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hermansson
Cannonier
Striking3.9 / 7.5Volume4.8 / 4.0Grappling3.3 / 0.9Wrestling2.3 / 0.6Submission2.7 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Hermansson
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Hermansson
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Cannonier
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cannonier targets the head (94% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hermansson
RND
Cannonier
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hermansson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W6.1W5.0W4.5W3.1L5.3W6.3L5.9W6.6L5.2W4.2L6.5W3.1L3.1L2016-092018-052020-072022-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Cannonier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0101.5L5.0W4.8W5.9L5.5W6.1L2.5L5.2W5.0W6.1W6.4L4.8W5.5W6.9L5.6W5.3W4.8L6.9L7.0W6.3L2015-012017-122020-102023-062025-08
WinLossTrend

Hermansson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

Cannonier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Jack Hermansson · Jared Cannonier
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