METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
New York City, USA
15 Nov 2025
Welterweight
VS
43%
Brady
57%
Morales
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:27
★ Official Result
Michael MoraleswinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:27
def. Sean Brady · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Morales
→
Actual result
Morales wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brady at 43% vs Morales at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Morales has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Brady's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BradyMorales
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brady
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+79"
33
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brady
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
76.5
53.7
Performance Avg
70.0
35
Quality of Victory
50
84
Momentum Score
100
Brady
Morales
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
9.1
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
8.0
6.1
Style: Volume
4.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
24
0
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Brady
Morales
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brady
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Brady
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
100
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brady
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brady
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
4.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
BradyMorales
Strike Zones
Brady
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedMorales
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brady targets the head (63% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brady absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brady
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brady · Last 5
Upcoming
Gabriel BonfimUFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · 2026-11
W · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R4
Leon EdwardsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
Morales · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Sean BradyKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07