UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Bantamweight
VS
56%
Basharat
44%
Lapilus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Basharat
This is a genuine toss-up — Basharat at 56% vs Lapilus at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lapilus has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Basharat
Lapilus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
71"
Reach
+73"
28+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Basharat
Lapilus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
49.7
57.9
Performance Avg
48.0
30
Quality of Victory
30
100
Momentum Score
85
Basharat
Lapilus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
48%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
2
Body
0
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Basharat
Lapilus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Basharat
Lapilus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Basharat
Lapilus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Basharat
Lapilus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
17%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Basharat
Lapilus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.2
BasharatLapilus
Strike Zones
Basharat
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedLapilus
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Basharat targets the head (46% of attacks) — Lapilus absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Lapilus targets the head (86% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Basharat
RND
Lapilus
0/0R00/0
Basharat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lapilus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Basharat · Last 5
Upcoming
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