UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
Newark, USA
18 Apr 2015
Featherweight
VS
51%
Brandao
49%
Hettes
Win Probability
DB
Diego Brandao
"DB"
22 – 11
5'7"64" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
JH
Jimy Hettes
"The Kid"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brandao

This is a genuine toss-up — Brandao at 51% vs Hettes at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Brandao throws more volume but Hettes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Brandao's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brandao
Hettes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
64"
Reach
+71"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brandao
Hettes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
19.1
53.4
Performance Avg
44.8
49
Quality of Victory
41
79
Momentum Score
76
Brandao
Hettes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
3
Body
6
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
6Clinch7
4Ground0
Brandao
Hettes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brandao
Hettes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Brandao
Hettes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
76
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brandao
Hettes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brandao
Hettes
Striking2.9 / 1.0Volume3.9 / 3.7Grappling3.5 / 6.1Wrestling2.4 / 4.3Submission3.3 / 6.7Pressure5.3 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Brandao
Strike Zones
Hettes
Brandao
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD6BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Hettes
Attacking
5HEAD6BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brandao targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hettes absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Hettes targets the body (55% of attacks) — Brandao absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brandao
RND
Hettes
0/0R00/0

Brandao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.4W2.8L3.5L4.0W5.0W5.4L2011-122013-042014-072016-01
WinLossTrend

Hettes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W4.0L4.0L2011-082011-122012-092013-102014-032015-04
WinLossTrend

Brandao · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
W · R1
Jimy HettesRating 4
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12

Hettes · Last 5

L · R1
Diego BrandaoRating 4
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Sub · R2
Robert WhitefordRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · Dec · R3
Marcus BrimageRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12

News & Media

Diego Brandao · Jimy Hettes
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