UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
Vancouver, Canada
10 Jun 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
49%
Maverick
51%
Jasudavicius
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jasudavicius
This is a genuine toss-up — Maverick at 49% vs Jasudavicius at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Maverick has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Maverick
Jasudavicius
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+68"
28+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maverick
Jasudavicius
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.8
53.3
45.4
Performance Avg
49.6
31
Quality of Victory
33
73
Momentum Score
73
Maverick
Jasudavicius
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
39
6
Body
6
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
28Distance40
0Clinch4
0Ground1
Maverick
Jasudavicius
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maverick
Jasudavicius
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Maverick
Jasudavicius
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
73
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Maverick
Jasudavicius
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maverick
Jasudavicius
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
MaverickJasudavicius
Strike Zones
Maverick
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedJasudavicius
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maverick targets the head (68% of attacks) — Jasudavicius absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Jasudavicius targets the head (87% of attacks) — Maverick absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maverick
RND
Jasudavicius
0/0R00/0
Maverick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Jasudavicius · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Maverick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Sub · R3
Priscila CachoeiraRating 6.5Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Jasudavicius · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Manon FiorotRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 5.8Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11