METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
Auburn Hills, USA
20 Nov 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Jackson
47%
Machida
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Quinton JacksonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lyoto Machida · UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jackson
→
Actual result
Jackson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 53% vs Machida at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Machida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Machida has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacksonMachida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jackson
Machida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jackson
Machida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
18.7
51.1
Performance Avg
53.8
44
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
78
Jackson
Machida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
10
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance10
2Clinch2
0Ground1
Jackson
Machida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jackson
Machida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
4
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/49 fights
Chin rating based on
24/32 fights
Jackson
Machida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Jackson
Machida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Machida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
JacksonMachida
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedMachida
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Machida absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Machida targets the head (77% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Machida
0/0R00/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Machida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jackson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Sub · R4
Jon JonesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Machida · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04