UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
Auburn Hills, USA
20 Nov 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Jackson
47%
Machida
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
QJ
Quinton Jackson
"Rampage"
37 – 12
6'1"73" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
LM
Lyoto Machida
"The Dragon"
24 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak47 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jackson

This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 53% vs Machida at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Machida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Machida has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jackson
Machida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jackson
Machida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
18.7
51.1
Performance Avg
53.8
44
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
78
Jackson
Machida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
10
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance10
2Clinch2
0Ground1
Jackson
Machida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jackson
Machida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
4
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/49 fights
Chin rating based on
24/32 fights
Jackson
Machida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Jackson
Machida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jackson
Machida
Striking5.0 / 5.7Volume6.2 / 5.3Grappling1.5 / 1.7Wrestling1.1 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.6Pressure4.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Jackson
Strike Zones
Machida
Jackson
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Machida
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Machida absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Machida targets the head (77% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jackson
RND
Machida
0/0R00/0

Jackson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2L5.5L5.9L4.5W2007-022008-122011-052015-04
WinLossTrend

Machida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W3.9L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W6.3L5.0W2.1L2.8L1.8L5.3W5.2W2007-022009-052012-082014-122018-05
WinLossTrend

Jackson · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Sub · R4
Jon JonesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05

Machida · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1
Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04

News & Media

Quinton Jackson · Lyoto Machida
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