UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Santiago, Chile
19 May 2018
Welterweight
VS
79%
Luque
21%
Laprise
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Luque
Luque is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Laprise throws more volume but Luque connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Luque's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Laprise has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Luque
Laprise
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
71"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luque
Laprise
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.9
16.8
57.2
Performance Avg
56.0
50
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
30
Luque
Laprise
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
6
1
Body
3
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance9
1Clinch4
3Ground0
Luque
Laprise
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
4.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luque
Laprise
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
32
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Luque
Laprise
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Luque
Laprise
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luque
Laprise
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
LuqueLaprise
Strike Zones
Luque
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedLaprise
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (64% of attacks) — Laprise absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Laprise targets the head (46% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luque
RND
Laprise
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Luque · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Laprise · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Luque · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.3Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Kevin HollandRating 3.4Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboRating 5.4Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
Laprise · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dhiego LimaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · KO · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Galore BofandoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
W · KO · R3
Brian CamozziRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Thibault GoutiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08