UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Middleweight
VS
86%
Guimaraes
14%
Enz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Guimaraes
Guimaraes is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Guimaraes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Guimaraes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Guimaraes's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guimaraes
Enz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+78"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guimaraes
Enz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
2.1
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Guimaraes
Enz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
21%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
2
Body
1
20
Leg
1
RangeRange
27Distance12
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Guimaraes
Enz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guimaraes
Enz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Guimaraes
Enz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Guimaraes
Enz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guimaraes
Enz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GuimaraesEnz
Strike Zones
Guimaraes
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedEnz
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guimaraes targets the legs (69% of attacks) — Enz absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Enz targets the head (83% of attacks) — Guimaraes absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guimaraes
RND
Enz
0/0R00/0
Guimaraes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Enz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Guimaraes · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · KO · R2
Hyun Gyu LimRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Dan StittgenRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
Enz · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Marcelo GuimaraesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Clint HesterRating 5.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02