UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Paris, France
28 Sept 2024
Flyweight
VS
41%
Barez
59%
Altamirano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Daniel
Daniel Barez
17 – 8
5'6"66" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
Victor
Victor Altamirano
"El Magnifico"
12 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide35 yrsSwitch70" reach5'8"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Altamirano

This is a genuine toss-up — Barez at 41% vs Altamirano at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Altamirano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Altamirano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Barez
Altamirano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Barez
Altamirano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.5
36.4
25.0
Performance Avg
38.8
25
Quality of Victory
43
17
Momentum Score
20
Barez
Altamirano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
20
7
Body
13
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance35
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Barez
Altamirano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barez
Altamirano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Barez
Altamirano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Barez
Altamirano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barez
Altamirano
Striking0.5 / 5.7Volume8.5 / 4.7Grappling2.4 / 1.2Wrestling1.7 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Barez
Strike Zones
Altamirano
Barez
Attacking
11HEAD7BODY3LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD13BODY2LEGS35 absorbed
Altamirano
Attacking
20HEAD13BODY2LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD7BODY3LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barez targets the head (52% of attacks) — Altamirano absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Altamirano targets the head (57% of attacks) — Barez absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barez
RND
Altamirano
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.6L4.6W5.5L5.5L2023-072024-092025-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Altamirano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.6L5.5L5.5L2022-022022-082023-032023-062024-022024-09
WinLossTrend

Barez · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Luis GuruleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Andre LimaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Jafel FilhoRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Altamirano · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniel BarezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Vinicius SalvadorRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · KO · R1
Daniel LacerdaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

News & Media

Daniel Barez · Victor Altamirano
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