UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen
Boston, USA
17 Aug 2013
Middleweight
VS
65%
Hall
35%
Howard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hall
Hall holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Howard has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Hall throws more volume but Howard connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hall's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Howard has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hall
Howard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
79"+
Reach
72"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hall
Howard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
13.7
47.8
Performance Avg
40.1
45
Quality of Victory
34
45
Momentum Score
40
Hall
Howard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
57%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
3
8
Leg
8
RangeRange
6Distance6
3Clinch5
2Ground1
Hall
Howard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hall
Howard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
14/37 fights
Hall
Howard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hall
Howard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hall
Howard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
HallHoward
Strike Zones
Hall
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedHoward
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hall targets the legs (73% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Howard targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hall
RND
Howard
0/0R00/0
Hall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Howard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
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L · Dec · R5
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W · KO · R1
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W · KO · R4
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UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
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Howard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 1.5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
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