METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Welterweight
VS
74%
Edwards
26%
Tumenov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:01
Leon
Leon Edwards
"Rocky"
226
6'2"74" reachSouthpaw35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 57
AT
Albert Tumenov
"Einstein"
184
Striker2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 21
★ Official Result
Leon EdwardswinsSubmissionR3 · 3:01
def. Albert Tumenov · UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Edwards
Actual result
Edwards wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Edwards is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsTumenov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Edwards
Tumenov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
73"
35
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Tumenov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
20.6
51.1
Performance Avg
52.6
36
Quality of Victory
46
95
Momentum Score
76
Edwards
Tumenov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
6.1
7.2
Style: Volume
4.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Edwards
Tumenov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Tumenov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
8/22 fights
Edwards
Tumenov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Edwards
Tumenov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edwards
Tumenov
Striking3.6 / 7.3Volume7.2 / 4.5Grappling2.3 / 1.0Wrestling1.6 / 0.7Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Edwards
Strike Zones
Tumenov
Edwards
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Tumenov
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tumenov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Tumenov targets the head (78% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edwards
RND
Tumenov
0/0R00/0

Edwards · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Carlos Prates
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R4
Sean Brady
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal Muhammad
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby Covington
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru Usman
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Tumenov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Leon Edwards
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar Nelson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Lorenz Larkin
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Alan Jouban
KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Nicholas Musoke
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Leon Edwards · Albert Tumenov
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