UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Welterweight
VS
74%
Edwards
26%
Tumenov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:01
Leon
Leon Edwards
"Rocky"
22 – 6
6'2"74" reachSouthpaw34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 57
AT
Albert Tumenov
"Einstein"
18 – 4
Striker2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Edwards

Edwards is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Tumenov throws more volume but Edwards connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edwards
Tumenov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
73"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Tumenov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
20.6
51.1
Performance Avg
52.6
36
Quality of Victory
46
95
Momentum Score
76
Edwards
Tumenov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Edwards
Tumenov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Tumenov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
8/22 fights
Edwards
Tumenov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Edwards
Tumenov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edwards
Tumenov
Striking3.6 / 7.3Volume7.2 / 4.5Grappling2.3 / 1.0Wrestling1.6 / 0.7Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Edwards
Strike Zones
Tumenov
Edwards
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Tumenov
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tumenov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Tumenov targets the head (78% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edwards
RND
Tumenov
0/0R00/0

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.0W4.5W6.6L4.5W5.5W6.0W4.9W5.5W4.5W5.6W4.7W4.5W6.6W5.6W5.8W6.6L4.5L5.0L2014-112016-102019-032023-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Tumenov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L5.1L2014-022014-102015-102016-052016-10
WinLossTrend

Edwards · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R4
Sean BradyRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Tumenov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Lorenz LarkinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Nicholas MusokeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Leon Edwards · Albert Tumenov
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