UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Mexico City, Mexico
13 Jun 2015
Lightweight
VS
22%
Escudero
78%
Dober
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dober
Dober is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Escudero's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Escudero
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Escudero
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
59.9
48.3
Performance Avg
53.2
53
Quality of Victory
50
40
Momentum Score
100
Escudero
Dober
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Escudero
Dober
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Escudero
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/40 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Escudero
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Escudero
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
11
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Escudero
Dober
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
EscuderoDober
Strike Zones
Escudero
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedDober
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Escudero targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Escudero
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0
Escudero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dober · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Escudero · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02