Efrain Escudero vs Drew Dober — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum

Mexico City, Mexico

13 Jun 2015

Lightweight

22%

Escudero

78%

Dober

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 0:54

Efrain Escudero

"Hecho En Mexico"

28 – 12

5'9"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 17

Drew Dober

29 – 15

Knockout Artist2-fight win streak37 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"

CFR 60

★ Official Result

Efrain EscuderowinsSubmissionR1 · 0:54

def. Drew Dober · UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Dober

→

Actual result

Escudero wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Dober is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Escudero's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

EscuderoDober

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Escudero

Dober

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"+

Height

5'8"

71"+

Reach

70"

Age

+37

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Escudero

Dober

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

16.8

59.9

48.3

Performance Avg

53.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Escudero

Dober

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.8

/ 10

8.5

/ 10

4.0

Style: Pressure

7.3

5.6

Style: Volume

2.8

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

11 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance0

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Escudero

Dober

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.0

/ 10

1.0

/ 10

2.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.7

2.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Escudero

Dober

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/40 fights

Chin rating based on

27/44 fights

Escudero

Dober

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R3

L · KO · R1

L · R3

L · Dec · R3

Escudero

Dober

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

80%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Escudero

Dober

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

8.5

3.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.0

2.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.7

2.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.7

4.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.3

5.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.8

Escudero

Strike Zones

Dober

Escudero

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Dober

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Escudero targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Escudero

RND

Dober

0/0R00/0

Escudero · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Kevin Lee

Decision

UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04

L · Dec · R3

Leandro Silva

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11

W · Sub · R1

Drew Dober

Submission

UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06

W · Dec · R3

Rodrigo de Lima

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02

L · Dec · R3

Leonardo Santos

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09

Dober · Last 5

W · KO · R2

Michael Johnson

KO/TKO

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · KO · R3

Kyle Prepolec

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10

L · KO · R1

Manuel Torres

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

L · R3

Jean Silva

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

L · Dec · R3

Renato Moicano

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02

News & Media

Efrain Escudero · Drew Dober

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