UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Santiago, Chile
19 May 2018
Welterweight
VS
36%
Maia
64%
Usman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Kamaru
Kamaru Usman
"The Nigerian Nightmare"
21 – 4
Well-Rounded39 yrsSwitch76" reach6'0"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Usman

Usman holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Maia has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Usman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Maia
Usman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+76"
48
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Maia
Usman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
57.4
50.8
Performance Avg
61.2
40
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
55
Maia
Usman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
11
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance10
0Clinch0
1Ground3
Maia
Usman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Usman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Maia
Usman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Maia
Usman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
11
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Usman
Striking1.8 / 4.2Volume5.0 / 7.2Grappling5.1 / 2.1Wrestling3.6 / 1.5Submission5.0 / 0.6Pressure5.8 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
Maia
Strike Zones
Usman
Maia
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Usman
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (86% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Usman targets the head (85% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Usman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Usman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.6W4.5W4.7W5.6W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.7W4.5W6.8W4.5W5.5W5.1W5.8W5.1L6.6L7.4L5.7W2015-072017-092019-122022-082025-06
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Usman · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

News & Media

Demian Maia · Kamaru Usman
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