METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Santiago, Chile
19 May 2018
Welterweight
VS
27%
Maia
73%
Usman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kamaru UsmanwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Demian Maia · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Usman wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Usman is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaUsman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Usman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+76"
48
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Maia
Usman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
56.3
50.8
Performance Avg
59.6
40
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
55
Maia
Usman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
4.6
5.0
Style: Volume
7.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
11
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance10
0Clinch0
1Ground3
Maia
Usman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
11
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
Usman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Maia
Usman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
Maia
Usman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
11
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Usman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
MaiaUsman
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedUsman
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (86% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Usman targets the head (85% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Usman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Usman · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08