UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
35%
Jojua
65%
Maverick
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maverick
Maverick holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Jojua has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jojua has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Jojua throws more volume but Maverick connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Jojua
Maverick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
62"
Reach
+65"
31
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jojua
Maverick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.7
51.8
42.4
Performance Avg
45.4
54
Quality of Victory
31
43
Momentum Score
73
Jojua
Maverick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
34%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
25
4
Body
15
0
Leg
9
RangeRange
30Distance49
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jojua
Maverick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jojua
Maverick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Jojua
Maverick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
73
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Jojua
Maverick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jojua
Maverick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
JojuaMaverick
Strike Zones
Jojua
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedMaverick
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jojua targets the head (87% of attacks) — Maverick absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Maverick targets the head (51% of attacks) — Jojua absorbs 51% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jojua
RND
Maverick
0/0R00/0
Jojua · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Maverick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Jojua · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 5.5Decision
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Diana BelbitaRating 5Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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