UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Glendale, USA
14 Apr 2018
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Bhullar
54%
Wieczorek
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wieczorek
This is a genuine toss-up — Bhullar at 46% vs Wieczorek at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Wieczorek has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Wieczorek throws more volume but Bhullar connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Bhullar
Wieczorek
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'5"
75"
Reach
+81"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bhullar
Wieczorek
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
20.5
45.0
Performance Avg
49.0
25
Quality of Victory
37
78
Momentum Score
83
Bhullar
Wieczorek
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.8
57%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
3
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
2Distance6
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Bhullar
Wieczorek
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bhullar
Wieczorek
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Bhullar
Wieczorek
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
83
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Bhullar
Wieczorek
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bhullar
Wieczorek
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
9.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
BhullarWieczorek
Strike Zones
Bhullar
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedWieczorek
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bhullar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wieczorek absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Wieczorek targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Bhullar absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bhullar
RND
Wieczorek
0/0R00/0
Bhullar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Wieczorek · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Bhullar · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Juan AdamsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Marcelo GolmRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Sub · R2
Adam WieczorekRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Luis HenriqueRating 4.5Decision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Wieczorek · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 6.1Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · Sub · R2
Arjan BhullarRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Anthony HamiltonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11