METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2017
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Alcantara
48%
Sanders
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:13
★ Official Result
Iuri AlcantarawinsSubmissionR2 · 3:13
def. Luke Sanders · UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alcantara
→
Actual result
Alcantara wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 52% vs Sanders at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Sanders throws more volume but Alcantara connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanders has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlcantaraSanders
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alcantara
Sanders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
67"
45
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Alcantara
Sanders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
15.5
48.0
Performance Avg
41.8
41
Quality of Victory
45
49
Momentum Score
46
Alcantara
Sanders
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
2.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
17
0
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance7
1Clinch4
0Ground8
Alcantara
Sanders
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alcantara
Sanders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Alcantara
Sanders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
46
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Alcantara
Sanders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Sanders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
AlcantaraSanders
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedSanders
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (70% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Sanders targets the head (89% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Sanders
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Sanders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Sanders · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Felipe ColaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Nate ManessRating 3.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
W · KO · R2
Renan BaraoRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Patrick WilliamsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04