UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2017
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Alcantara
48%
Sanders
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:13
IA
Iuri Alcantara
"Marajo"
35 – 10
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
LS
Luke Sanders
"Cool Hand"
13 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'6"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alcantara

This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 52% vs Sanders at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Sanders throws more volume but Alcantara connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sanders has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Alcantara
Sanders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
67"
45
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Alcantara
Sanders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
15.5
48.0
Performance Avg
41.8
41
Quality of Victory
45
49
Momentum Score
46
Alcantara
Sanders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
17
0
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance7
1Clinch4
0Ground8
Alcantara
Sanders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alcantara
Sanders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Alcantara
Sanders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
46
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Alcantara
Sanders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alcantara
Sanders
Striking4.2 / 4.1Volume5.2 / 3.4Grappling2.8 / 3.5Wrestling2.0 / 2.4Submission2.0 / 3.3Pressure5.3 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Alcantara
Strike Zones
Sanders
Alcantara
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Sanders
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (70% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Sanders targets the head (89% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alcantara
RND
Sanders
0/0R00/0

Alcantara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W1.8L5.5L5.0W4.2L2011-082014-022016-012018-022018-08
WinLossTrend

Sanders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.0W2.8L2.8L4.5W1.9L5.2W3.9L5.5L2016-012017-122018-082020-112021-05
WinLossTrend

Alcantara · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8
Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

Sanders · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Felipe ColaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Nate ManessRating 3.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
W · KO · R2
Renan BaraoRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Patrick WilliamsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

News & Media

Iuri Alcantara · Luke Sanders
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