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UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Sao Paulo, Brazil
28 Oct 2017
Welterweight
VS
57%
Luque
43%
Price
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 Β· 4:08
Vicente
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
24 – 12
5'11"75" reachOrthodox34 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 65
Niko
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
16 – 11
Well-Rounded4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"
CFR 48
β˜… Official Result
Vicente LuquewinsSubmissionR2 Β· 4:08
def. Niko Price Β· UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
β†’
Actual result
Luque wins
Submission Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Luque at 57% vs Price at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Price throws more volume but Luque connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Luque's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Price has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LuquePrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Luque
Price
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luque
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.9
48.4
57.2
Performance Avg
46.0
50
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
65
Luque
Price
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.0
2.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
8
2
Body
0
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
28Distance10
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Luque
Price
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Luque
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Luque
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
65
Current form
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Luque
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
75%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Luque
Price
Striking5.5 / 5.8Volume2.3 / 2.8Grappling3.6 / 2.6Wrestling2.5 / 1.8Submission4.1 / 2.5Pressure7.8 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Luque
Strike Zones
Price
Luque
Attacking
20HEAD2BODY9LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Price
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD2BODY9LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (65% of attacks) β€” Price absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Price targets the head (80% of attacks) β€” Luque absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Luque
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Luque Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.0W5.2W5.0W6.1W6.6L5.9W5.0W6.2W5.9W5.0W4.5W6.1L5.2W6.1W5.0W5.8W6.6L5.0L4.7W3.9L5.4W3.4L6.8L5.3W2015-072018-052020-082024-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Price Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W4.2L5.2W6.1W3.0L5.1W3.8L5.0W7.0L6.1L4.5W5.1L1.8L4.5W5.9L5.1L1.9L2.3L2016-122018-092021-072024-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Luque Β· Last 5

W Β· Sub Β· R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg Β· 2026-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Joel AlvarezRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot Β· 2025-10
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Kevin HollandRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 Β· 2025-06
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Themba GorimboRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura Β· 2024-12
L Β· KO Β· R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot Β· 2024-03

Price Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer Β· 2026-03
L Β· KO Β· R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Β· 2026-02
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Jacobe SmithRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Β· 2025-06
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira Β· 2024-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06

News & Media

Vicente Luque Β· Niko Price
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