METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Welterweight
VS
92%
Johnson
8%
Garcia
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:03
★ Official Result
DaMarques JohnsonwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:03
def. Edgar Garcia · UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Striking split: Garcia throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garcia has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
1.5
48.7
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Johnson
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
2.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
35%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
15
3
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance6
2Clinch3
0Ground8
Johnson
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Johnson
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Johnson
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JohnsonGarcia
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (88% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Mike SwickRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
John MaguireRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · KO · R1
Clay HarvisonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
L · KO · R2
Amir SadollahRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
Garcia · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Sheldon WestcottRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Hector UrbinaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11
L · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · Dec · R3
Brad BlackburnRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06