METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Lightweight
VS
74%
Miller
26%
Medeiros
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:18
★ Official Result
Jim MillerwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:18
def. Yancy Medeiros · UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Miller wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Miller is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerMedeiros
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+75"
43
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
15.6
51.5
Performance Avg
45.4
45
Quality of Victory
47
28
Momentum Score
39
Miller
Medeiros
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
7.1
3.5
Style: Volume
2.2
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
1
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance8
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Miller
Medeiros
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.1
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
14
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Miller
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Miller
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
83%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
14
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Medeiros
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
MillerMedeiros
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMedeiros
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (40% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (78% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
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Medeiros · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicDecision
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L · KO · R1
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W · KO · R3
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