★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
Toronto, Canada
8 Dec 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
69%
Shevchenko
31%
Jedrzejczyk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Valentina
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
26 – 4
5'5"66" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 62
JJ
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
16 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shevchenko

Shevchenko holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Jedrzejczyk has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Jedrzejczyk throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Jedrzejczyk has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shevchenko
Jedrzejczyk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
66"+
Reach
65"
38
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Jedrzejczyk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.2
27.8
66.5
Performance Avg
52.9
55
Quality of Victory
44
53
Momentum Score
58
Shevchenko
Jedrzejczyk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
58%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
7
5
Body
10
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
15Distance14
5Clinch6
0Ground0
Shevchenko
Jedrzejczyk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shevchenko
Jedrzejczyk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Shevchenko
Jedrzejczyk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
58
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Shevchenko
Jedrzejczyk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
20%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shevchenko
Jedrzejczyk
Striking4.3 / 3.3Volume6.5 / 7.7Grappling2.5 / 1.9Wrestling1.8 / 1.3Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 3.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Shevchenko
Strike Zones
Jedrzejczyk
Shevchenko
Attacking
11HEAD5BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD10BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Jedrzejczyk
Attacking
7HEAD10BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD5BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (55% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the body (50% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shevchenko
RND
Jedrzejczyk
0/0R00/0

Shevchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W6.7L4.6W6.7W6.7L6.2W4.5W5.1W4.5W5.6W4.5W5.9W6.2W4.7W4.6L5.7W6.1W6.3W2015-122018-022020-112024-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Jedrzejczyk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.4W5.3W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.3W2.9L6.9L5.2W6.9L4.5W7.3L4.6L2014-072015-112017-112019-102022-06
WinLossTrend

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa Grasso
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa GrassoRating 4.6
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Jedrzejczyk · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07

News & Media

Valentina Shevchenko · Joanna Jedrzejczyk
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