UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Featherweight
VS
43%
Johnson
57%
Fili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Michael
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25 – 20
5'10"73" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Andre
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
25 – 13
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fili

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 43% vs Fili at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Johnson
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
73"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
48.8
42.5
Performance Avg
42.0
38
Quality of Victory
35
35
Momentum Score
100
Johnson
Fili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
8
5
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance9
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Johnson
Fili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
26/38 fights
Johnson
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
100
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Johnson
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
31%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Fili
Striking4.8 / 4.1Volume6.0 / 6.6Grappling1.5 / 1.7Wrestling1.1 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Johnson
Strike Zones
Fili
Johnson
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY4LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Fili
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY4LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (44% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (80% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L5.5L6.3W4.0L3.7L3.2L5.2W4.5W4.1L5.5L3.0L6.0L5.2W5.7L4.6W3.8L5.3W6.0W4.9W4.0L2010-122013-082017-072022-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Fili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.2W5.1L4.5W1.5L5.2W4.3L4.5W6.0L4.5W4.5W5.6L4.5W5.0W6.3L5.3W6.5L3.1L4.7W6.3L5.1W2.2L5.0W2.7L5.1W7.0L2013-102017-072020-062024-062026-03
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

Fili · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Michael Johnson · Andre Fili
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