METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Philadelphia, USA
6 Aug 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Hamill
57%
Gustafsson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:34
★ Official Result
Alexander GustafssonwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:34
def. Matt Hamill · UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gustafsson
→
Actual result
Gustafsson wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hamill at 43% vs Gustafsson at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Hamill's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gustafsson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HamillGustafsson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hamill
Gustafsson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'5"
76"
Reach
+79"
49
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hamill
Gustafsson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
24.8
51.9
Performance Avg
50.3
42
Quality of Victory
47
63
Momentum Score
39
Hamill
Gustafsson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
6.6
4.5
Style: Volume
3.5
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
26
1
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance11
1Clinch5
0Ground13
Hamill
Gustafsson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hamill
Gustafsson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Hamill
Gustafsson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Hamill
Gustafsson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hamill
Gustafsson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
HamillGustafsson
Strike Zones
Hamill
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedGustafsson
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hamill targets the head (75% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (90% of attacks) — Hamill absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hamill
RND
Gustafsson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hamill · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Roger HollettDecision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Alexander GustafssonKO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonDecision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizDecision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Gustafsson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesKO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05