UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Las Vegas, USA
16 May 2026
Middleweight
VS
51%
Brundage
49%
Petroski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brundage
This is a genuine toss-up — Brundage at 51% vs Petroski at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Brundage has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Brundage throws more volume but Petroski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brundage's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petroski has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brundage
Petroski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Brundage
Petroski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.2
44.3
49.0
Performance Avg
45.2
53
Quality of Victory
34
26
Momentum Score
63
Brundage
Petroski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
55%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
35Ground0
Brundage
Petroski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.3
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brundage
Petroski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
13/19 fights
Brundage
Petroski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
63
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brundage
Petroski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brundage
Petroski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
BrundagePetroski
Strike Zones
Brundage
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedPetroski
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brundage targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petroski absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brundage
RND
Petroski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brundage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Petroski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Brundage · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7KO/TKO
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Petroski · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cody BrundageRating 3.3KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Cam RowstonRating 3.5KO/TKO
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