UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Flyweight
VS
17%
Scoggins
83%
Nurmagomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nurmagomedov
Nurmagomedov is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Scoggins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Scoggins's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
63.8
38.0
Performance Avg
53.5
34
Quality of Victory
47
39
Momentum Score
87
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
63%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
19
3
Body
1
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance16
1Clinch2
0Ground6
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
87
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
ScogginsNurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Scoggins
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedNurmagomedov
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Scoggins targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (79% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Scoggins
RND
Nurmagomedov
0/0R00/0
Scoggins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Scoggins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Bryce MitchellRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Muin GafurovRating 5Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R2
Saidyokub KakhramonovRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12