METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Flyweight
VS
17%
Scoggins
83%
Nurmagomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Said NurmagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Scoggins · UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nurmagomedov
→
Actual result
Nurmagomedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Nurmagomedov is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Scoggins's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ScogginsNurmagomedov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
63.8
38.0
Performance Avg
53.5
34
Quality of Victory
47
39
Momentum Score
87
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
6.9
6.9
Style: Volume
3.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
19
3
Body
1
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance16
1Clinch2
0Ground6
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
87
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Scoggins
Nurmagomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
ScogginsNurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Scoggins
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedNurmagomedov
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Scoggins targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (79% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Scoggins
RND
Nurmagomedov
0/0R00/0
Scoggins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoDecision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Bryce MitchellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Muin GafurovSubmission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R2
Saidyokub KakhramonovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12