UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Austin, USA
15 Sept 2010
Middleweight
VS
44%
Marquardt
56%
Palhares
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:28
NM
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35 – 19
6'0"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
RP
Rousimar Palhares
"Toquinho"
19 – 8
Submission Hunter46 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Palhares

This is a genuine toss-up — Marquardt at 44% vs Palhares at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Marquardt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Palhares has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marquardt
Palhares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
71"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marquardt
Palhares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
21.7
48.6
Performance Avg
54.0
46
Quality of Victory
46
59
Momentum Score
100
Marquardt
Palhares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Marquardt
Palhares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquardt
Palhares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Marquardt
Palhares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Marquardt
Palhares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
6
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquardt
Palhares
Striking5.7 / 1.3Volume3.5 / 3.3Grappling2.6 / 6.6Wrestling1.8 / 4.6Submission2.3 / 7.5Pressure6.4 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Marquardt
Strike Zones
Palhares
Marquardt
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Palhares
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marquardt targets the head (92% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Palhares targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquardt
RND
Palhares
0/0R00/0

Marquardt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L3.1L5.2W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2005-082008-092013-032016-102017-11
WinLossTrend

Palhares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.0W2008-052009-122011-032012-052013-10
WinLossTrend

Marquardt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Palhares · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 5
Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08

News & Media

Nate Marquardt · Rousimar Palhares
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