METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
12 Oct 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
56%
Polastri
44%
McKenna
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Julia PolastriwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cory McKenna · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Polastri
→
Actual result
Polastri wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Polastri at 56% vs McKenna at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Polastri has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PolastriMcKenna
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Polastri
McKenna
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'3"
63"+
Reach
58"
28
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Polastri
McKenna
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.5
45.7
47.0
Performance Avg
39.9
45
Quality of Victory
33
80
Momentum Score
83
Polastri
McKenna
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
3.8
3.7
Style: Volume
6.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
8
7
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance8
3Clinch0
2Ground0
Polastri
McKenna
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Polastri
McKenna
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Polastri
McKenna
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
83
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Polastri
McKenna
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Polastri
McKenna
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
PolastriMcKenna
Strike Zones
Polastri
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMcKenna
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Polastri targets the head (59% of attacks) — McKenna absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯McKenna targets the head (100% of attacks) — Polastri absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Polastri
RND
McKenna
0/0R00/0
Polastri · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Xiong JingnanKO/TKO
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McKenna · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriDecision
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