UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
12 Oct 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
51%
Polastri
49%
McKenna
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Julia
Julia Polastri
"Psycho"
14 – 6
5'2"63" reachOrthodox28 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Cory
Cory McKenna
"Poppins"
8 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide26 yrsOrthodox58" reach5'3"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Polastri

This is a genuine toss-up — Polastri at 51% vs McKenna at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Polastri has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Polastri
McKenna
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'3"
63"+
Reach
58"
28
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Polastri
McKenna
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.7
45.7
38.5
Performance Avg
39.9
38
Quality of Victory
33
59
Momentum Score
83
Polastri
McKenna
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
0.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
36%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
8
7
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance8
3Clinch0
2Ground0
Polastri
McKenna
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Polastri
McKenna
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Polastri
McKenna
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
83
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Polastri
McKenna
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Polastri
McKenna
Striking5.8 / 1.0Volume4.8 / 6.3Grappling1.2 / 4.3Wrestling0.8 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure4.7 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Polastri
Strike Zones
McKenna
Polastri
Attacking
13HEAD7BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
McKenna
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD7BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Polastri targets the head (59% of attacks) — McKenna absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯McKenna targets the head (100% of attacks) — Polastri absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Polastri
RND
McKenna
0/0R00/0

Polastri · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.0L5.0W6.0L5.5W6.7L2024-062024-102025-032025-102026-04
WinLossTrend

McKenna · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5L5.2W4.6W3.3L6.1L2020-112022-032022-082022-122024-032024-10
WinLossTrend

Polastri · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Talita AlencarRating 6.7
Decision
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W · KO · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Cory McKennaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Josefine KnutssonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

McKenna · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Jaqueline AmorimRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Cheyanne VlismasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Sub · R2
Miranda GrangerRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5
Decision
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News & Media

Julia Polastri · Cory McKenna
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