METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
6 Oct 2018
Welterweight
VS
48%
Luque
52%
Turner
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:52
★ Official Result
Vicente LuquewinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:52
def. Jalin Turner · UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Turner
→
Actual result
Luque wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Luque at 48% vs Turner at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Luque's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turner has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LuqueTurner
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Luque
Turner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
34
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Luque
Turner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
64.4
56.1
Performance Avg
57.8
50
Quality of Victory
56
79
Momentum Score
85
Luque
Turner
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
8.8
2.3
Style: Volume
1.2
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
25
2
Body
5
14
Leg
1
RangeRange
31Distance31
2Clinch0
8Ground0
Luque
Turner
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
4.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
7
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luque
Turner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Luque
Turner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
85
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Luque
Turner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
7
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luque
Turner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
LuqueTurner
Strike Zones
Luque
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTurner
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (61% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Turner targets the head (81% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luque
RND
Turner
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Luque · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Kevin HollandSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesSubmission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
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