UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
6 Oct 2018
Welterweight
VS
52%
Luque
48%
Turner
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:52
Vicente
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
24 – 12
5'11"75" reachOrthodox34 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 65
Jalin
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
15 – 9
Knockout Artist31 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'3"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Luque

This is a genuine toss-up — Luque at 52% vs Turner at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Turner throws more volume but Luque connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Luque's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Turner has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Luque
Turner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
34
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Luque
Turner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.9
59.7
57.2
Performance Avg
56.4
50
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
65
Luque
Turner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
3.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
25
2
Body
5
14
Leg
1
RangeRange
31Distance31
2Clinch0
8Ground0
Luque
Turner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
4.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
7
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luque
Turner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Luque
Turner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Luque
Turner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
7
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Luque
Turner
Striking5.5 / 7.4Volume2.3 / 1.1Grappling3.6 / 3.0Wrestling2.5 / 2.1Submission4.1 / 3.8Pressure7.8 / 8.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.7
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
Luque
Strike Zones
Turner
Luque
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY14LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD5BODY1LEGS31 absorbed
Turner
Attacking
25HEAD5BODY1LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY14LEGS41 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (61% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Turner targets the head (81% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Luque
RND
Turner
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Luque · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.0W5.2W5.0W6.1W6.6L5.9W5.0W6.2W5.9W5.0W4.5W6.1L5.2W6.1W5.0W5.8W6.6L5.0L4.7W3.9L5.4W3.4L6.8L5.3W2015-072018-052020-082024-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Turner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.0L5.0W5.7L5.6W5.2W6.8W5.4W5.0W6.6L6.4L5.7W3.5L2.8L5.5W2018-102020-092023-032025-032025-12
WinLossTrend

Luque · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Kevin HollandRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

Turner · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

News & Media

Vicente Luque · Jalin Turner
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