METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Lightweight
VS
28%
Laprise
72%
Barberena
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chad LaprisewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bryan Barberena · UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barberena
→
Actual result
Laprise wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Barberena is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Laprise has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Laprise's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barberena has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LapriseBarberena
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Laprise
Barberena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Laprise
Barberena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
43.3
56.0
Performance Avg
43.9
53
Quality of Victory
42
30
Momentum Score
76
Laprise
Barberena
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
5.3
5.2
Style: Volume
4.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
15
7
Body
12
0
Leg
13
RangeRange
19Distance24
3Clinch16
0Ground0
Laprise
Barberena
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Laprise
Barberena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Laprise
Barberena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
76
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Laprise
Barberena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
56%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Laprise
Barberena
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
LapriseBarberena
Strike Zones
Laprise
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedBarberena
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Laprise targets the head (68% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Barberena targets the head (38% of attacks) — Laprise absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Laprise
RND
Barberena
0/0R00/0
Laprise · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dhiego LimaKO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · KO · R1
Vicente LuqueKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Galore BofandoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
W · KO · R3
Brian CamozziKO/TKO
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Thibault GoutiKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
Barberena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonSubmission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerKO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07