UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title
New Orleans, USA
8 Jan 1999
Lightweight
VS
89%
Burnett
11%
Saunders
Win Probability
Decision
Round 2 · 3:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Burnett
Burnett is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Burnett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Striking split: Burnett throws more volume but Saunders connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Burnett
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
52
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burnett
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
2.7
52.9
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Burnett
Saunders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
61%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
5
Body
9
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
10Clinch9
0Ground0
Burnett
Saunders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burnett
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/7 fights
Chin rating based on
2 fights
Burnett
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R2
L · Dec · R2
Burnett
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burnett
Saunders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BurnettSaunders
Strike Zones
Burnett
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSaunders
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burnett targets the body (50% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the body (82% of attacks) — Burnett absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burnett
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Burnett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Saunders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Burnett · Last 3
W · Dec · R2
Townsend SaundersRating 4.2Decision
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
L · Dec · R3
Pat MiletichRating 5.5Decision
UFC - Ultimate Brazil · 1998-10
W · KO · R1
Eugenio TadeuRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 16: Battle in the Bayou · 1998-03
Saunders · Last 2
L · Dec · R2
Mikey BurnettRating 4.8Decision
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
L · Dec · R2
Pat MiletichRating 4.8Decision
UFC 16: Battle in the Bayou · 1998-03