UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jul 2021
Middleweight
VS
47%
Soriano
53%
Allen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Allen
This is a genuine toss-up — Soriano at 47% vs Allen at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Soriano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Soriano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Allen has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Soriano
Allen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+75"
33
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Soriano
Allen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
61.8
52.0
Performance Avg
56.8
44
Quality of Victory
43
64
Momentum Score
88
Soriano
Allen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
53%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
17
3
Body
11
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance30
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Soriano
Allen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.9
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Soriano
Allen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Soriano
Allen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
88
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Soriano
Allen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
64%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soriano
Allen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
SorianoAllen
Strike Zones
Soriano
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedAllen
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (80% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Allen targets the head (55% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soriano
RND
Allen
0/0R00/0
Soriano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Allen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Soriano · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajRating 6Decision
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Allen · Last 5
Upcoming
Edmen ShahbazyanUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de RidderRating 6.4KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.9Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9Decision
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