UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Welterweight
VS
60%
Luque
40%
Gorimbo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Luque
Luque holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Gorimbo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Luque has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Luque throws more volume but Gorimbo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Luque's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Luque
Gorimbo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luque
Gorimbo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.9
43.6
57.2
Performance Avg
40.2
50
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
53
Luque
Gorimbo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Luque
Gorimbo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Luque
Gorimbo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Luque
Gorimbo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Luque
Gorimbo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
25%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luque
Gorimbo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
LuqueGorimbo
Strike Zones
Luque
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedGorimbo
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gorimbo absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gorimbo targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luque
RND
Gorimbo
0/0R00/0
Luque · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Gorimbo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Luque · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.3Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezRating 6.8Decision
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L · Sub · R2
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UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboRating 5.4Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
Gorimbo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MicallefRating 7.1Decision
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UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 5.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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