METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
12%
Mann
88%
Souza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ketlen SouzawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marnic Mann · UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Souza
→
Actual result
Souza wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Souza is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Souza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MannSouza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mann
Souza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'0"
Height
+5'3"
64"+
Reach
63"
33
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mann
Souza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.9
50.9
0.0
Performance Avg
47.5
0
Quality of Victory
41
0
Momentum Score
53
Mann
Souza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
5.2
0.0
Style: Volume
5.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
16
1
Body
12
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance27
0Clinch3
1Ground0
Mann
Souza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mann
Souza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/9 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Mann
Souza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Mann
Souza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mann
Souza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
MannSouza
Strike Zones
Mann
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedSouza
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mann targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Souza targets the head (53% of attacks) — Mann absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mann
RND
Souza
0/0R00/0
Mann · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R1
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