UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
14%
Mann
86%
Souza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marnic
Marnic Mann
"The Sawed-Off Savage"
6 – 3
5'0"64" reachSouthpaw33 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 7
Ketlen
Ketlen Souza
"Esquentadinha"
16 – 6
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'3"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Souza

Souza is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Souza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Mann
Souza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'0"
Height
+5'3"
64"+
Reach
63"
33
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mann
Souza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.9
42.9
0.0
Performance Avg
40.8
0
Quality of Victory
35
0
Momentum Score
40
Mann
Souza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
56%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
16
1
Body
12
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance27
0Clinch3
1Ground0
Mann
Souza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mann
Souza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/9 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Mann
Souza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Mann
Souza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mann
Souza
Striking0.0 / 1.0Volume0.0 / 6.3Grappling0.0 / 4.3Wrestling0.0 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure0.0 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Mann
Strike Zones
Souza
Mann
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY5LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD12BODY2LEGS30 absorbed
Souza
Attacking
16HEAD12BODY2LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY5LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mann targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Souza targets the head (53% of attacks) — Mann absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mann
RND
Souza
0/0R00/0

Mann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.0L5.9L2023-092024-04
WinLossTrend

Souza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0102.7L4.5W5.3W5.6L6.3L4.5W2023-062024-042024-092025-022025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Mann · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Josefine KnutssonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Souza · Last 5

Upcoming
Ariane Carnelossi
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Piera RodriguezRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Yazmin JaureguiRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

News & Media

Marnic Mann · Ketlen Souza
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