UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008
Las Vegas, USA
27 Dec 2008
Middleweight
VS
45%
Okami
55%
Lister
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lister
This is a genuine toss-up — Okami at 45% vs Lister at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Okami has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Okami's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Okami
Lister
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
44+
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Okami
Lister
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
20.2
46.5
Performance Avg
50.4
33
Quality of Victory
40
78
Momentum Score
75
Okami
Lister
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
31%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance3
2Clinch0
9Ground0
Okami
Lister
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Okami
Lister
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Okami
Lister
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
75
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Okami
Lister
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Okami
Lister
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
OkamiLister
Strike Zones
Okami
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedLister
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Okami targets the head (87% of attacks) — Lister absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Lister targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Okami absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Okami
RND
Lister
0/0R00/0
Okami · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Lister · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
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