UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fortaleza, Brazil
2 Feb 2019
Heavyweight
VS
23%
Albini
77%
Rozenstruik
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rozenstruik
Rozenstruik is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Albini has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Albini's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rozenstruik has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Albini
Rozenstruik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
74"
Reach
+78"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Albini
Rozenstruik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
57.0
44.0
Performance Avg
56.7
60
Quality of Victory
54
39
Momentum Score
56
Albini
Rozenstruik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
53%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
0
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch3
0Ground4
Albini
Rozenstruik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Albini
Rozenstruik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Albini
Rozenstruik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
56
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Albini
Rozenstruik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
89%
1
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Albini
Rozenstruik
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
AlbiniRozenstruik
Strike Zones
Albini
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRozenstruik
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Albini targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (80% of attacks) — Albini absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Albini
RND
Rozenstruik
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Albini · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Rozenstruik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Albini · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Maurice GreeneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
W · KO · R1
Timothy JohnsonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
Rozenstruik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12